UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Providence 1
  
Providence            
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 93.8899

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 90.6) 15- 8 208 A Bryant America East ( 9- 4, 92.9) 15-12 215 H Harvard Ivy (10- 4, 96.7) 10-12 222 A Brown Ivy ( 3-10, 93.0) 6- 7 225 A Merrimack America East ( 3-10, 88.3) 18- 7 301 A Fairfield CAA (12- 2, 94.2) 7-15 308 H Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 93.3) 12-11 312 A Duke ACC (12- 5, 97.1) 10-16 322 A St Josephs Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 95.0) 8-16 329 A Georgetown Big East (10- 5, 95.6) 13-14 405 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 93.9) 8-11 412 H Marquette Big East ( 7- 7, 93.5) 14- 2 419 A Denver Big East ( 7- 7, 94.4) 10- 6 425 H St Johns Big East ( 4-11, 90.2) 16-10 501 N Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 93.9) 14-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Holy Cross             15- 8       7     4           0.81
   208 A Bryant                 15-12       3     0    +      2.91
   215 H Harvard                10-12      -2    -2          -0.06
   222 A Brown                   6- 7      -1     0          -1.01
   225 A Merrimack              18- 7      11     5           0.26
   301 A Fairfield               7-15      -8    -1    -     -3.82
   308 H Loyola                 12-11       1     1          -0.46
   312 A Duke                   10-16      -6    -4          -0.91
   322 A St Josephs              8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.99
   329 A Georgetown             13-14      -1    -3           1.55
   405 H Villanova               8-11      -3     1    -     -3.81
   412 H Marquette              14- 2      12     1    +      3.73
   419 A Denver                 10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.35
   425 H St Johns               16-10       6     5           0.41
   501 N Villanova              14-16      -2     0          -1.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Fairfield               7-15      -8    -1    -     -3.82
   322 A St Josephs              8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.99
   405 H Villanova               8-11      -3     1    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Denver                 10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.35
   208 A Bryant                 15-12       3     0    +      2.91
   412 H Marquette              14- 2      12     1    +      3.73

Providence Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Providence Providence   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Albany Providence insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Providence
Army Army tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Army
Bellarmine Providence insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Providence
Binghamton Providence insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Providence
Boston Univ Boston Univ insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Boston Univ
Brown Brown Brown  
Bryant Providence Providence  
Bucknell Providence Providence   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Canisius Providence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence
Cleveland St Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Colgate Colgate Colgate   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Cornell Cornell Cornell   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Dartmouth
Delaware Providence tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Providence
Denver Providence Providence  
Detroit Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Drexel Providence tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Providence
Duke Duke Duke  
Fairfield Fairfield Fairfield  
Georgetown Georgetown Georgetown  
Hampton Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Harvard Harvard Harvard  
High Point Providence insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Providence
Hobart Providence insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Providence
Hofstra Providence tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Providence
Holy Cross Providence Providence  
Iona Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Jacksonville Providence tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Providence
JHU JHU insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) JHU
Lafayette Lafayette tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Lafayette
Le Moyne Providence   Providence
Lehigh Lehigh insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Lehigh
LIU Providence   Providence
Loyola Providence Providence  
Manhattan Providence tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Providence
Marist Providence insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Providence
Marquette Providence Providence  
Maryland Maryland tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Maryland
UMass Providence insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Providence
Mass-Lowell Providence Providence   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Mercer Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Mercyhurst Providence   Providence
Merrimack Providence Providence  
Michigan Michigan tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Michigan
Monmouth Providence tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Providence
Mt St Marys Providence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Navy
NJIT Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
No Carolina No Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) No Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ohio State Ohio State tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Ohio State
Penn Penn Penn   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Penn State Penn State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Penn State
Princeton Princeton Princeton   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Queens Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Quinnipiac Providence Providence   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Richmond Richmond Richmond   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Rob Morris Providence   Providence
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Providence insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Providence
Siena Siena tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Siena
St B'venture Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
St Johns Providence Providence  
St Josephs St Josephs St Josephs  
Stony Brook Providence insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence
Syracuse Syracuse tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Syracuse
Towson Providence insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Providence
UMBC Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Utah Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Vermont Providence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence
Villanova Villanova Villanova  
Virginia Virginia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia
VMI Providence   Providence
Wagner Providence   Providence
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Yale

PowerWise = 46


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Holy Cross      ( 4-11, 90.6)    15- 8       -9.34       9.47      -0.86         0.96             8.23
   0 A Bryant          ( 9- 4, 92.9)    15-12       -6.96      11.86       0.86         0.96            12.15
   0 H Harvard         (10- 4, 96.7)    10-12       -3.21      15.60      -0.86         0.96            -3.89
   0 A Brown           ( 3-10, 93.0)     6- 7       -6.88      11.94       0.86         0.96            -5.75
   0 A Merrimack       ( 3-10, 88.3)    18- 7      -11.61       7.20       0.86         0.96             7.71
   0 A Fairfield       (12- 2, 94.2)     7-15       -5.69      13.12       0.86         0.96            -4.62
   0 H Loyola          ( 3-11, 93.3)    12-11       -6.61      12.20      -0.86         0.96            10.84
   0 A Duke            (12- 5, 97.1)    10-16       -2.77      16.04       0.86         0.96            -1.83
   0 A St Josephs      ( 9- 6, 95.0)     8-16       -4.86      13.96       0.86         0.96            -3.82
   0 A Georgetown      (10- 5, 95.6)    13-14       -4.31      14.50       0.86         0.96            -3.30
   0 H Villanova       ( 9- 6, 93.9)     8-11       -5.96      12.85      -0.86         0.96            -6.52
   0 H Marquette       ( 7- 7, 93.5)    14- 2       -6.43      12.39      -0.86         0.96            11.02
   0 A Denver          ( 7- 7, 94.4)    10- 6       -5.52      13.29       0.86         0.96            13.52
   0 H St Johns        ( 4-11, 90.2)    16-10       -9.74       9.07      -0.86         0.96             7.85
   0 N Villanova       ( 9- 6, 93.9)    14-16       -5.96      12.85      -0.00         0.96            -5.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        35.88

winning pts = 71.3284 losing points = -35.4460

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------