UPDATED: 04-03-26 10:21 PDT

men Providence 1
  
Providence            
W-L: ( 4- 7) PR = 91.3455

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 A Holy Cross PATRIOT ( 5- 5, 90.3) 15-10 206 H Bryant AE ( 3- 5, 89.1) 16-11 214 A Harvard IVY ( 8- 1, 97.5) 4-10 221 H Brown IVY ( 5- 4, 92.6) 7- 8 228 H Fairfield CAA ( 4- 6, 91.4) 7- 8 302 H Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 8, 88.1) 16- 9 307 A Loyola PATRIOT ( 6- 4, 93.3) 9-15 314 N Duke ACC ( 8- 1, 98.1) 5-21 318 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 2- 8, 87.0) 12- 3 321 H Air Force ASUN ( 2- 7, 89.9) 17-18 328 A Marquette BE ( 5- 4, 91.7) 13-14 404 H Georgetown BE ( 4- 4, 97.0) 411 A Villanova BE ( 3- 5, 93.1) 418 H Denver BE ( 4- 5, 95.1) 424 A St Johns BE ( 2- 7, 88.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   131 A Holy Cross             15-10       5     0    ++     4.80
   206 H Bryant                 16-11       5     3           1.97
   214 A Harvard                 4-10      -6    -7           0.00
   221 H Brown                   7- 8      -1     0          -0.60
   228 H Fairfield               7- 8      -1     1          -1.81
   302 H Merrimack              16- 9       7     4           0.92
   307 A Loyola                  9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.26
   314 N Duke                    5-21     -16    -7           0.00
   318 H Quinnipiac             12- 3       9     5           0.00
   321 H Air Force              17-18      -1     2    -     -3.22
   328 A Marquette              13-14      -1    -1           0.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Loyola                  9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.26
   321 H Air Force              17-18      -1     2    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   131 A Holy Cross             15-10       5     0    ++     4.80

Providence Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force Air Force  
Albany Albany tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albany
Army Army tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Army
Bellarmine Providence tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Providence
Binghamton Providence   Providence
Boston Univ Boston Univ tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Boston Univ
Brown Brown Brown  
Bryant Providence Providence  
Bucknell Bucknell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bucknell
Canisius Providence tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Providence
Cleveland State Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Colgate Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Colgate
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware   Delaware
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Denver
Detroit Mercy Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Drexel Drexel insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Drexel
Duke Duke Duke  
Fairfield Fairfield Fairfield  
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Georgetown
Hampton Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Harvard Harvard Harvard  
High Point High Point   High Point
Hobart Providence   Providence
Hofstra Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Holy Cross Providence Providence  
Iona Iona   Iona
Jacksonville Jacksonville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Jacksonville
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Johns Hopkins
Lafayette Providence insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Providence
Le Moyne Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Lehigh Lehigh insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lehigh
LIU Providence   Providence
Loyola Loyola Loyola  
Manhattan Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Marist Providence insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Providence
Marquette Marquette Marquette  
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Massachusetts
UMassLowell Providence insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Providence
Mercer Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Mercyhurst Providence   Providence
Merrimack Providence Providence  
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Michigan
Monmouth Providence   Providence
Mt St Marys Providence insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Providence
Navy Navy   Navy
NJIT Providence   Providence
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio State
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pennsylvania
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Princeton Princeton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Princeton
Queens Providence   Providence
Quinnipiac Providence Providence  
Richmond Richmond   Richmond
Robert Morris Robert Morris   Robert Morris
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Sacred Heart
Siena Siena insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Siena
St Bonnies Providence   Providence
St Johns Providence insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Providence
St Josephs St Josephs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Josephs
Stony Brook Stony Brook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Towson Towson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Towson
UMBC Providence tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Providence
Utah Utah insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Utah
Vermont Providence insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Providence
Villanova Villanova   Villanova
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
VMI Providence   Providence
Wagner Providence   Providence
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yale

PowerWise = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.81

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 5- 5, 90.3)    15-10       -9.57       8.63       0.82         0.80             7.56
   0 H Bryant          ( 3- 5, 89.1)    16-11      -10.77       7.43      -0.82         0.80             5.30
   0 A Harvard         ( 8- 1, 97.5)     4-10       -2.38      15.82       0.82         0.80            -1.25
   0 H Brown           ( 5- 4, 92.6)     7- 8       -7.34      10.86      -0.82         0.80            -6.53
   0 H Fairfield       ( 4- 6, 91.4)     7- 8       -8.55       9.65      -0.82         0.80            -7.50
   0 H Merrimack       ( 2- 8, 88.1)    16- 9      -11.82       6.38      -0.82         0.80             4.46
   0 A Loyola          ( 6- 4, 93.3)     9-15       -6.63      11.57       0.82         0.80            -4.65
   0 N Duke            ( 8- 1, 98.1)     5-21       -1.78      16.42      -0.00         0.80            -1.42
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 2- 8, 87.0)    12- 3      -12.86       5.34      -0.82         0.80             3.62
   0 H Air Force       ( 2- 7, 89.9)    17-18       -9.96       8.24      -0.82         0.80            -8.63
   0 A Marquette       ( 5- 4, 91.7)    13-14       -8.17      10.02       0.82         0.80            -5.89
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -14.94

winning pts = 20.9264 losing points = -35.8647

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------