UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:05 PDT

men Providence 1
  
Providence            
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 93.5282

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 A Holy Cross PATRIOT ( 6- 8, 91.3) 15-10 206 H Bryant AE ( 7- 6, 90.7) 16-11 214 A Harvard IVY ( 9- 5, 96.9) 4-10 221 H Brown IVY ( 6- 7, 94.2) 7- 8 228 H Fairfield CAA ( 4-10, 91.3) 7- 8 302 H Merrimack MAAC ( 7- 9, 90.1) 16- 9 307 A Loyola PATRIOT (10- 6, 94.9) 9-15 314 N Duke ACC (11- 4, 98.8) 5-21 318 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 89.2) 12- 3 321 H Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 92.4) 17-18 328 A Marquette BE ( 6- 7, 92.7) 13-14 404 H Georgetown BE (11- 5, 97.8) 8-15 411 A Villanova BE ( 6- 8, 93.7) 10- 9 418 H Denver BE ( 6- 8, 95.2) 8- 7 424 A St Johns BE ( 2-12, 89.2) 18-10 430 H Villanova BE ( 6- 8, 93.7) 14- 7 502 H Georgetown BE (11- 5, 97.8) 6-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   131 A Holy Cross             15-10       5     1    +      3.54
   206 H Bryant                 16-11       5     4           1.43
   214 A Harvard                 4-10      -6    -4          -0.93
   221 H Brown                   7- 8      -1     0          -1.10
   228 H Fairfield               7- 8      -1     3    -     -3.93
   302 H Merrimack              16- 9       7     4           0.87
   307 A Loyola                  9-15      -6    -2    -     -2.87
   314 N Duke                    5-21     -16    -5           0.00
   318 H Quinnipiac             12- 3       9     5           0.00
   321 H Air Force              17-18      -1     2    -     -2.83
   328 A Marquette              13-14      -1     0          -1.08
   404 H Georgetown              8-15      -7    -4          -1.43
   411 A Villanova              10- 9       1    -1           1.96
   418 H Denver                  8- 7       1    -1           1.89
   424 A St Johns               18-10       8     4           1.45
   430 H Villanova              14- 7       7     1    ++     4.47
   502 H Georgetown              6-14      -8    -4          -1.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Fairfield               7- 8      -1     3    -     -3.93
   307 A Loyola                  9-15      -6    -2    -     -2.87
   321 H Air Force              17-18      -1     2    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Villanova              14- 7       7     1    ++     4.47
   131 A Holy Cross             15-10       5     1    +      3.54

Providence PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force Air Force  
Albany Albany tied -  1- 1 Albany
Army Army Army   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Bellarmine Providence tied -  0- 3 Providence
Binghamton Providence Providence   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Boston Univ Boston Univ tied -  1- 2 Boston Univ
Brown Brown Brown  
Bryant Providence Providence  
Bucknell Providence tied -  1- 1 Providence
Canisius Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Cleveland State Providence Providence   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Colgate Providence Providence   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Cornell Cornell Cornell   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Dartmouth Dartmouth Dartmouth   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Delaware Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Denver Providence Providence  
Detroit Mercy Providence tied -  0- 1 Providence
Drexel Providence tied -  1- 1 Providence
Duke Duke Duke  
Fairfield Fairfield Fairfield  
Georgetown Georgetown Georgetown  
Hampton Providence tied -  0- 1 Providence
Harvard Harvard Harvard  
High Point High Point   High Point
Hobart Providence   Providence
Hofstra Providence Providence   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Holy Cross Providence Providence  
Iona Providence Providence   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lafayette Providence Providence   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Le Moyne Providence Providence   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lehigh Lehigh Lehigh   3- 1 vs 2- 2
LIU Providence   Providence
Loyola Loyola Loyola  
Manhattan Providence Providence   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Marist Marist Marist   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Marquette Marquette Marquette  
Maryland Maryland Maryland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts   3- 0 vs 2- 1
UMassLowell Providence Providence   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mercer Providence tied -  1- 2 Providence
Mercyhurst Providence   Providence
Merrimack Providence Providence  
Michigan Michigan tied -  1- 2 Michigan
Monmouth Monmouth Monmouth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mt St Marys Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Navy Navy tied -  1- 1 Navy
NJIT Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 1- 1
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Pennsylvania   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Penn State Providence Providence   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Princeton Princeton Princeton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Queens Providence tied -  0- 1 Providence
Quinnipiac Providence Providence  
Richmond Richmond Richmond   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Robert Morris Providence   Providence
Rutgers Rutgers tied -  2- 0 Rutgers
Sacred Heart Providence tied -  3- 1 Providence
Siena Providence tied -  2- 1 Providence
St Bonnies Providence   Providence
St Johns Providence Providence  
St Josephs St Josephs tied -  1- 1 St Josephs
Stony Brook Stony Brook Stony Brook   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Towson Towson Towson   2- 1 vs 1- 2
UMBC Providence tied -  1- 1 Providence
Utah Utah tied -  2- 3 Utah
Vermont Providence Providence   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Villanova Providence Providence  
Virginia Virginia Virginia   1- 1 vs 0- 2
VMI Providence   Providence
Wagner Providence   Providence
Yale Yale Yale   3- 0 vs 0- 3

PairWisePlus = 39


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 6- 8, 91.3)    15-10       -8.58       8.55       0.74         0.86             8.02
   0 H Bryant          ( 7- 6, 90.7)    16-11       -9.20       7.93      -0.74         0.86             6.20
   0 A Harvard         ( 9- 5, 96.9)     4-10       -3.05      14.08       0.74         0.86            -1.99
   0 H Brown           ( 6- 7, 94.2)     7- 8       -5.73      11.40      -0.74         0.86            -5.59
   0 H Fairfield       ( 4-10, 91.3)     7- 8       -8.56       8.57      -0.74         0.86            -8.03
   0 H Merrimack       ( 7- 9, 90.1)    16- 9       -9.76       7.37      -0.74         0.86             5.72
   0 A Loyola          (10- 6, 94.9)     9-15       -4.99      12.15       0.74         0.86            -3.66
   0 N Duke            (11- 4, 98.8)     5-21       -1.06      16.07      -0.00         0.86            -0.92
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 5-10, 89.2)    12- 3      -10.71       6.42      -0.74         0.86             4.90
   0 H Air Force       ( 7- 8, 92.4)    17-18       -7.46       9.67      -0.74         0.86            -7.08
   0 A Marquette       ( 6- 7, 92.7)    13-14       -7.20       9.93       0.74         0.86            -5.57
   0 H Georgetown      (11- 5, 97.8)     8-15       -2.06      15.08      -0.74         0.86            -2.42
   0 A Villanova       ( 6- 8, 93.7)    10- 9       -6.16      10.98       0.74         0.86            10.12
   0 H Denver          ( 6- 8, 95.2)     8- 7       -4.74      12.39      -0.74         0.86            10.06
   0 A St Johns        ( 2-12, 89.2)    18-10      -10.66       6.47       0.74         0.86             6.22
   0 H Villanova       ( 6- 8, 93.7)    14- 7       -6.16      10.98      -0.74         0.86             8.83
   0 H Georgetown      (11- 5, 97.8)     6-14       -2.06      15.08      -0.74         0.86            -2.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        22.41

winning pts = 60.0784 losing points = -37.6716

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------